Get Premium

West Ham vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 5 Sept 2026

West Ham

WDWLD

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:00

3 : 0

Full time

Derby

WLDLL

Pre-match win probability

66.9%West Ham18.7%Draw14.4%Derby

Our prediction

Home or Draw · West Ham

West Ham vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence66.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • West Ham 66.9%
  • Draw 18.7%
  • Derby 14.4%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

West HamDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X71.2%
X228.8%

Match result

West Ham1.4
Draw5
Derby6.5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance71.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance28.8%
Odds2.75

West Ham

Chance66.9%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance18.7%
Odds5

Derby

Chance14.4%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

West HamDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

West Ham vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

West Ham meet Derby in the England, Championship on 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is West Ham at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

West Ham vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is West Ham vs Derby?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on West Ham vs Derby?

West Ham is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

West Ham vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats