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Zamora vs Lugo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Zamora

12th in table · 12 pts

WWDDL

Sun, 20 Sept 202617:15

1 : 2

Full time

Lugo

1st in table · 22 pts

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

43.8%Zamora29%Draw27.2%Lugo

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Zamora

Zamora vs Lugo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence43.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Zamora 43.8%
  • Draw 29%
  • Lugo 27.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ZamoraLugo
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.80.8
Wins
37
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Zamora4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 24 OctCacereño1 – 0ZamoraL
  • 17 OctZamora1 – 1PonferradinaD
  • 10 OctMirandes1 – 1ZamoraD
  • 4 OctZamora2 – 0CD CoriaW
  • 26 SeptExtremadura 19240 – 1ZamoraW
Lugo7W 1D 1L in last 9
  • 23 OctReal Unión4 – 1LugoL
  • 17 OctLugo3 – 0Deportivo La Coruña IIW
  • 12 OctLugo3 – 1UD LogroñésW
  • 2 OctReal Avilés1 – 2LugoW
  • 26 SeptLugo1 – 0Racing FerrolW
H2H
Head to headZamora 3W · 0D · Lugo 1W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 10 MayLugo1 – 3Zamora
  • 14 SeptZamora1 – 0Lugo
  • 17 MayLugo2 – 0Zamora
  • 22 NovZamora2 – 0Lugo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.083.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.4% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X56.4%
X243.6%

Match result

Zamora2.05
Draw3.1
Lugo3.3

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance56.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance43.6%
Odds1.62

Zamora

Chance43.8%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Lugo

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.62

ZamoraLugo
Recent form41%59%
Attack39%61%
Defence50%50%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Zamora scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Zamora conceded 0.8 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Zamora vs Lugo: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Zamora meet Lugo in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 20 September 2026 at 17:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Zamora at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Zamora vs Lugo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Zamora vs Lugo?

Kickoff is 17:15 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Zamora vs Lugo?

Zamora is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.