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AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 9 May 2026

AD Ceuta FC

11th in table · 61 pts

WDLLL

Sat, 9 May 202613:00

1 : 1

Full time

Castellón

6th in table · 72 pts

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

19.9%AD Ceuta FC21%Draw59.1%Castellón

Our prediction

Away or Draw · AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence59.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AD Ceuta FC 19.9%
  • Draw 21%
  • Castellón 59.1%

Season statistics

Segunda División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AD Ceuta FCCastellón
Goals scored (avg)
1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2–
Wins
1720
Played
4242

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AD Ceuta FC1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 25 OctCadiz3 – 1AD Ceuta FCL
  • 18 OctAD Ceuta FC1 – 2OviedoL
  • 10 OctAD Ceuta FC1 – 2SabadellL
  • 4 OctCastellón1 – 1AD Ceuta FCD
  • 26 SeptAD Ceuta FC3 – 1Real Sociedad IIW
Castellón0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAD Ceuta FC 0W · 3D · Castellón 1W · 4 goals a game
    • 4 OctCastellón1 – 1AD Ceuta FC
    • 14 SeptCastellón3 – 3AD Ceuta FC
    • 11 FebCastellón2 – 2AD Ceuta FC
    • 15 OctAD Ceuta FC1 – 3Castellón

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
    1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
    2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
    3.5 goals11.2% · 2.114.1% · 1.67

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9%
    No39.1%

    Double chance

    1X34.9%
    X265.1%

    Match result

    AD Ceuta FC4.75
    Draw4.5
    Castellón1.6

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9% · 1.53
    No39.1% · 2.38

    1X

    Chance34.9%
    Odds2.2

    X2

    Chance65.1%
    Odds1.18

    AD Ceuta FC

    Chance19.9%
    Odds4.75

    Draw

    Chance21%
    Odds4.5

    Castellón

    Chance59.1%
    Odds1.6

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.18

    AD Ceuta FCCastellón
    Recent form83%17%
    Attack50%50%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model50%50%
    Head-to-head38%62%
    Overall25%75%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División

    AD Ceuta FC scored 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    AD Ceuta FC conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

    AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón: prediction & preview

    Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 9 May 2026

    AD Ceuta FC meet Castellón in the Spain, Segunda División on 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castellón at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón?

    Kickoff is 13:00 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on AD Ceuta FC vs Castellón?

    Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.