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Malaga vs Sporting Gijon Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 9 May 2026

Malaga

WLLWD

Sat, 9 May 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Sporting Gijon

LLWLW

Pre-match win probability

58.3%Malaga21.8%Draw19.9%Sporting Gijon

Our prediction

Draw · Malaga

Malaga vs Sporting Gijon listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence58.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Malaga 58.3%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Sporting Gijon 19.9%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

MalagaSporting Gijon

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711% · 2.15
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X66.1%
X233.9%

Match result

Malaga1.62
Draw4.33
Sporting Gijon4.75

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance66.1%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance33.9%
Odds2.3

Malaga

Chance58.3%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Sporting Gijon

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.33

MalagaSporting Gijon
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Malaga vs Sporting Gijon: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 9 May 2026

Malaga meet Sporting Gijon in the Spain, Segunda División on 9 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malaga at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Malaga vs Sporting Gijon FAQs

4 questions

What time is Malaga vs Sporting Gijon?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Malaga vs Sporting Gijon?

Malaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Malaga vs Sporting Gijon prediction, H2H and stats