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AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 16 May 2026

AD Ceuta FC

DWDDD

Sat, 16 May 202615:15

1 : 4

Full time

Malaga

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

22.9%AD Ceuta FC23.5%Draw53.6%Malaga

Our prediction

Home or Draw · AD Ceuta FC

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence53.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AD Ceuta FC 22.9%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • Malaga 53.6%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AD Ceuta FCMalaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X37.9%
X262.1%

Match result

AD Ceuta FC4.1
Draw4
Malaga1.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance37.9%
Odds2

X2

Chance62.1%
Odds1.22

AD Ceuta FC

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds4

Malaga

Chance53.6%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 2

AD Ceuta FCMalaga
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall30%70%

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 16 May 2026

AD Ceuta FC meet Malaga in the Spain, Segunda División on 16 May 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Malaga at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga FAQs

4 questions

What time is AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?

Malaga is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga prediction, H2H and stats