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Almeria vs Las Palmas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 16 May 2026

Almeria

DWWWL

Sat, 16 May 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

Las Palmas

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

52.2%Almeria26.1%Draw21.7%Las Palmas

Our prediction

Draw · Almeria

Almeria vs Las Palmas listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence52.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almeria 52.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Las Palmas 21.7%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AlmeriaLas Palmas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Almeria1.8
Draw3.6
Las Palmas4.33

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Almeria

Chance52.2%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.6

Las Palmas

Chance21.7%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.6

AlmeriaLas Palmas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Almeria vs Las Palmas: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 16 May 2026

Almeria meet Las Palmas in the Spain, Segunda División on 16 May 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Almeria vs Las Palmas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Almeria vs Las Palmas?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Almeria vs Las Palmas?

Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Almeria vs Las Palmas prediction, H2H and stats