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Adelaide United vs Macarthur Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueFri, 30 Jan 2026

Adelaide United

WWDLW

Fri, 30 Jan 202610:05

1 : 1

Full time

Macarthur

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

36.2%Adelaide United24.3%Draw39.5%Macarthur

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Adelaide United

Adelaide United vs Macarthur listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Adelaide United 36.2%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Macarthur 39.5%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Adelaide UnitedMacarthur

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals20.8% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

Adelaide United2.62
Draw3.9
Macarthur2.4

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

Adelaide United

Chance36.2%
Odds2.62

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Macarthur

Chance39.5%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

Adelaide UnitedMacarthur
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Adelaide United vs Macarthur: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Fri, 30 Jan 2026

Adelaide United meet Macarthur in the Australia, A-League on 30 January 2026 at 10:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Macarthur at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Adelaide United vs Macarthur FAQs

4 questions

What time is Adelaide United vs Macarthur?

Kickoff is 10:05 on 30 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Adelaide United vs Macarthur?

Macarthur is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Adelaide United vs Macarthur prediction, H2H and stats