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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Australia · A-LeagueFri, 30 Jan 2026

Wellington Phoenix

Fri, 30 Jan 202607:00

2 : 2

Full time

Melbourne City

Pre-match win probability

28.8%Wellington Phoenix23.7%Draw47.5%Melbourne City

Our prediction

Melbourne City

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence47.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Wellington Phoenix 28.8%
  • Draw 23.7%
  • Melbourne City 47.5%

Season statistics

A-League · highlighted side is stronger

Wellington PhoenixMelbourne City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.3% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals8% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Wellington Phoenix3.3
Draw4
Melbourne City2

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.33

Wellington Phoenix

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance23.7%
Odds4

Melbourne City

Chance47.5%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Melbourne City at 2

Wellington PhoenixMelbourne City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City: prediction & preview

Australia · A-League · Fri, 30 Jan 2026

Wellington Phoenix meet Melbourne City in the Australia, A-League on 30 January 2026 at 07:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Melbourne City at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City?

Kickoff is 07:00 on 30 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City?

Melbourne City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City prediction, H2H and stats