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AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 16 Apr 2026

AEK Athens FC

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Thu, 16 Apr 202620:00

3 : 1

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

49.4%AEK Athens FC25.1%Draw25.5%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

Draw · AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds3.75
Confidence49.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AEK Athens FC 49.4%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Rayo Vallecano 25.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

AEK Athens FCRayo Vallecano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X58.8%
X241.2%

Match result

AEK Athens FC1.91
Draw3.75
Rayo Vallecano3.7

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance58.8%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.2%
Odds1.83

AEK Athens FC

Chance49.4%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.75

Rayo Vallecano

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.75

AEK Athens FCRayo Vallecano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 16 Apr 2026

AEK Athens FC meet Rayo Vallecano in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AEK Athens FC at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

4 questions

What time is AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano?

AEK Athens FC is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, H2H and stats