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AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 16 Apr 2026

AZ Alkmaar

WLWLW

Thu, 16 Apr 202617:45

2 : 2

Full time

Shakhtar Donetsk

DWWLW

Pre-match win probability

37.6%AZ Alkmaar27.6%Draw34.8%Shakhtar Donetsk

Our prediction

Draw · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence37.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 37.6%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Shakhtar Donetsk 34.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarShakhtar Donetsk

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.9% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar2.5
Draw3.4
Shakhtar Donetsk2.7

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

AZ Alkmaar

Chance37.6%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.4

Shakhtar Donetsk

Chance34.8%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.4

AZ AlkmaarShakhtar Donetsk
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 16 Apr 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet Shakhtar Donetsk in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 16 April 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 16 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction, H2H and stats