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Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 14 Feb 2026

Ajax

DDLWW

Sat, 14 Feb 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Fortuna Sittard

DLWLD

Pre-match win probability

72.8%Ajax17.2%Draw10%Fortuna Sittard

Our prediction

Home · Ajax

Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence72.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 72.8%
  • Draw 17.2%
  • Fortuna Sittard 10%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxFortuna Sittard

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ajax0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Fortuna Sittard0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
      1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
      2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
      3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

      Both teams to score

      Yes52%
      No48%

      Double chance

      1X76.8%
      X223.2%

      Match result

      Ajax1.3
      Draw5.5
      Fortuna Sittard9.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes52% · 1.8
      No48% · 1.95

      1X

      Chance76.8%
      Odds1.06

      X2

      Chance23.2%
      Odds3.5

      Ajax

      Chance72.8%
      Odds1.3

      Draw

      Chance17.2%
      Odds5.5

      Fortuna Sittard

      Chance10%
      Odds9.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 1.3

      AjaxFortuna Sittard
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall88%12%

      Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction & preview

      Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

      Ajax meet Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 14 February 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?

      Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?

      Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.8%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard prediction, H2H and stats