Get Premium

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 14 Feb 2026

Excelsior

WDDDD

Sat, 14 Feb 202618:45

1 : 2

Full time

AZ Alkmaar

DDLWD

Pre-match win probability

30.4%Excelsior26.9%Draw42.8%AZ Alkmaar

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Excelsior

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence42.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 30.4%
  • Draw 26.9%
  • AZ Alkmaar 42.8%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorAZ Alkmaar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Excelsior3.1
Draw3.5
AZ Alkmaar2.2

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Excelsior

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Draw

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

AZ Alkmaar

Chance42.8%
Odds2.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.33

ExcelsiorAZ Alkmaar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

Excelsior meet AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 14 February 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar FAQs

4 questions

What time is Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar prediction, H2H and stats