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Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 5 Sept 2026

Ajax

WWWDD

Sat, 5 Sept 202619:00

1 : 3

Full time

PSV Eindhoven

WWWDW

Pre-match win probability

35.4%Ajax25.5%Draw39.1%PSV Eindhoven

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ajax

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ajax 35.4%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • PSV Eindhoven 39.1%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AjaxPSV Eindhoven

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13.2% · 1.812.4% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes72.3%
No27.7%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Ajax2.7
Draw3.75
PSV Eindhoven2.45

Both teams to score

Yes72.3% · 1.3
No27.7% · 3.4

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Ajax

Chance35.4%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.75

PSV Eindhoven

Chance39.1%
Odds2.45

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.57

AjaxPSV Eindhoven
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Ajax meet PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is PSV Eindhoven at 2.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.3.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.3. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven prediction, H2H and stats