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Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSat, 5 Sept 2026

Willem II

LLLLW

Sat, 5 Sept 202620:00

0 : 3

Full time

Excelsior

Pre-match win probability

30.6%Willem II27.1%Draw42.2%Excelsior

Our prediction

Excelsior

Excelsior is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Willem II 30.6%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Excelsior 42.2%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Willem IIExcelsior
Goals scored (avg)
1.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
3.1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Willem II1W 2D 6L in last 9
  • 27 OctHelmond Sport3 – 4Willem IIW
  • 24 OctWillem II1 – 6CambuurL
  • 17 OctSparta Rotterdam3 – 2Willem IIL
  • 11 OctUtrecht3 – 1Willem IIL
  • 19 SeptWillem II0 – 1Fortuna SittardL
Excelsior0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headWillem II 3W · 4D · Excelsior 2W · 2.4 goals a game
    • 30 DecWillem II3 – 1Excelsior
    • 17 JulWillem II2 – 0Excelsior
    • 21 AprExcelsior1 – 1Willem II
    • 15 SeptWillem II2 – 2Excelsior
    • 6 AprExcelsior2 – 1Willem II
    • 13 AugWillem II1 – 2Excelsior

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
    2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
    3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9%
    No39.1%

    Double chance

    1X45.6%
    X254.4%

    Match result

    Willem II3.1
    Draw3.5
    Excelsior2.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9% · 1.53
    No39.1% · 2.38

    1X

    Chance45.6%
    Odds1.62

    X2

    Chance54.4%
    Odds1.36

    Willem II

    Chance30.6%
    Odds3.1

    Draw

    Chance27.1%
    Odds3.5

    Excelsior

    Chance42.2%
    Odds2.25

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Excelsior at 2.25

    Willem IIExcelsior
    Recent form83%17%
    Attack58%42%
    Defence9%91%
    Goals model58%42%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall42%58%

    Trends

    Trend · Eredivisie

    Willem II scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Eredivisie

    Willem II conceded 3.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Eredivisie

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · Eredivisie

    Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 9.

    Willem II vs Excelsior: prediction & preview

    Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

    Willem II meet Excelsior in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Excelsior at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Willem II vs Excelsior FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Willem II vs Excelsior?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Willem II vs Excelsior?

    Excelsior is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.