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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 23 May 2026

Alaves

WWDLW

Sat, 23 May 202620:00

1 : 2

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

WDDWW

Pre-match win probability

40.6%Alaves28.3%Draw31.1%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

1X · Alaves

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence40.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alaves 40.6%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Rayo Vallecano 31.1%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlavesRayo Vallecano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals7% · 3.417.9% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Alaves2.3
Draw3.3
Rayo Vallecano3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

Alaves

Chance40.6%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.3

Rayo Vallecano

Chance31.1%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.36

AlavesRayo Vallecano
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 23 May 2026

Alaves meet Rayo Vallecano in the Spain, La Liga on 23 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alaves at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 23 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?

Alaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, H2H and stats