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Almeria vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 19 Apr 2026

Almeria

Sun, 19 Apr 202620:00

3 : 2

Full time

Malaga

Pre-match win probability

50.5%Almeria24.9%Draw24.6%Malaga

Our prediction

Almeria

Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence50.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almeria 50.5%
  • Draw 24.9%
  • Malaga 24.6%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AlmeriaMalaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Almeria1.85
Draw3.75
Malaga3.8

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

Almeria

Chance50.5%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance24.9%
Odds3.75

Malaga

Chance24.6%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Almeria at 1.85

AlmeriaMalaga
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Almeria vs Malaga: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 19 Apr 2026

Almeria meet Malaga in the Spain, Segunda División on 19 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Almeria vs Malaga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Almeria vs Malaga?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Almeria vs Malaga?

Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Almeria vs Malaga prediction, H2H and stats