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Alverca vs Famalicao Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 4 Jan 2026

Alverca

11th in table · 39 pts

WWWLL

Sun, 4 Jan 202621:30

1 : 0

Full time

Famalicao

5th in table · 56 pts

DWLLW

Pre-match win probability

25.9%Alverca28.7%Draw45.5%Famalicao

Our prediction

Home · Alverca

Alverca vs Famalicao listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 25.9%
  • Draw 28.7%
  • Famalicao 45.5%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaFamalicao
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.2
Wins
1015
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Alverca3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctAlverca0 – 1AroucaL
  • 18 OctTondela2 – 0AlvercaL
  • 12 OctFamalicao1 – 4AlvercaW
  • 19 SeptAlverca1 – 0Rio AveW
  • 12 SeptNacional1 – 3AlvercaW
Famalicao2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 25 OctRio Ave0 – 4FamalicaoW
  • 18 OctParedes1 – 0FamalicaoL
  • 12 OctFamalicao1 – 4AlvercaL
  • 19 SeptNacional0 – 4FamalicaoW
  • 13 SeptFamalicao1 – 1Sporting CPD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X41.9%
X258.1%

Match result

Alverca3.6
Draw3.25
Famalicao2.05

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

Alverca

Chance25.9%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance28.7%
Odds3.25

Famalicao

Chance45.5%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 3.6

AlvercaFamalicao
Recent form52%48%
Attack48%52%
Defence45%55%
Goals model48%52%
Overall36%64%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Alverca scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Alverca conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Alverca vs Famalicao: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Alverca meet Famalicao in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 4 January 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Famalicao at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alverca vs Famalicao FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alverca vs Famalicao?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alverca vs Famalicao?

Famalicao is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.