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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 4 Jan 2026

Rio Ave

LDLWD

Sun, 4 Jan 202616:30

3 : 1

Full time

Casa Pia

DWLDL

Pre-match win probability

38.8%Rio Ave30.1%Draw31.1%Casa Pia

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Rio Ave 38.8%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Casa Pia 31.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Rio AveCasa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Rio Ave2.4
Draw3.1
Casa Pia3

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Rio Ave

Chance38.8%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Casa Pia

Chance31.1%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

Rio AveCasa Pia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Rio Ave meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 4 January 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Rio Ave at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?

Rio Ave is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia prediction, H2H and stats