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Alverca vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 7 Dec 2025

Alverca

Sun, 7 Dec 202519:00

0 : 0

Half time

Nacional

Pre-match win probability

43.7%Alverca29.4%Draw26.9%Nacional

Our prediction

Alverca

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43.7%
ResultLive
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 43.7%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Nacional 26.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaNacional

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Alverca2.15
Draw3.2
Nacional3.5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Alverca

Chance43.7%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.2

Nacional

Chance26.9%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Alverca at 2.15

AlvercaNacional
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

Alverca vs Nacional: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

Alverca meet Nacional in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 7 December 2025 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alverca vs Nacional FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alverca vs Nacional?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alverca vs Nacional?

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alverca vs Nacional prediction, H2H and stats