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Estrela vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 7 Dec 2025

Estrela

Sun, 7 Dec 202519:00

2 : 0

Half time

Arouca

Pre-match win probability

48.2%Estrela28.9%Draw22.9%Arouca

Our prediction

Estrela

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.2%
ResultLive
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estrela 48.2%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Arouca 22.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

EstrelaArouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Estrela1.95
Draw3.25
Arouca4.1

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Estrela

Chance48.2%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

Arouca

Chance22.9%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Estrela at 1.95

EstrelaArouca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Estrela vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 7 Dec 2025

Estrela meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 7 December 2025 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The numbers below are pre-match prices and team rates. They describe the match. They do not promise a result.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estrela vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Estrela vs Arouca?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 7 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Estrela vs Arouca?

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Estrela vs Arouca prediction, H2H and stats