América RJ vs Madureira Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 16 May 2026

América RJ

Sat, 16 May 202619:00

3 : 1

Full time

Madureira

Pre-match win probability

25.8%América RJ31.2%Draw43%Madureira

Our prediction

Madureira

Madureira is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • América RJ 25.8%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Madureira 43%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

América RJMadureira

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.3% · 2.515.6% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

América RJ3.5
Draw2.9
Madureira2.1

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.28

América RJ

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds2.9

Madureira

Chance43%
Odds2.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Madureira at 2.1

América RJMadureira
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

América RJ vs Madureira: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 16 May 2026

América RJ meet Madureira in the Brazil, Serie D on 16 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Madureira at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

América RJ vs Madureira FAQs

4 questions

What time is América RJ vs Madureira?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on América RJ vs Madureira?

Madureira is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

América RJ vs Madureira prediction, H2H and stats