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Santa Catarina vs Joinville Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 16 May 2026

Santa Catarina

Sat, 16 May 202619:00

1 : 0

Full time

Joinville

Pre-match win probability

44.2%Santa Catarina31.3%Draw24.5%Joinville

Our prediction

Santa Catarina

Santa Catarina is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Santa Catarina 44.2%
  • Draw 31.3%
  • Joinville 24.5%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

Santa CatarinaJoinville

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

Santa Catarina2.05
Draw2.9
Joinville3.7

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.62

Santa Catarina

Chance44.2%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance31.3%
Odds2.9

Joinville

Chance24.5%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Santa Catarina at 2.05

Santa CatarinaJoinville
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Santa Catarina vs Joinville: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 16 May 2026

Santa Catarina meet Joinville in the Brazil, Serie D on 16 May 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Santa Catarina at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Santa Catarina vs Joinville FAQs

4 questions

What time is Santa Catarina vs Joinville?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Santa Catarina vs Joinville?

Santa Catarina is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.