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Aparecidense vs Primavera MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 30 May 2026

Aparecidense

Sat, 30 May 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Primavera MG

Pre-match win probability

51.1%Aparecidense27.5%Draw21.3%Primavera MG

Our prediction

Aparecidense

Aparecidense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence51.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aparecidense 51.1%
  • Draw 27.5%
  • Primavera MG 21.3%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

AparecidensePrimavera MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.2% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.8% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.2% · 3.7518.7% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X62%
X238%

Match result

Aparecidense1.75
Draw3.25
Primavera MG4.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance62%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance38%
Odds1.91

Aparecidense

Chance51.1%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance27.5%
Odds3.25

Primavera MG

Chance21.3%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aparecidense at 1.75

AparecidensePrimavera MG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Aparecidense vs Primavera MG: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 30 May 2026

Aparecidense meet Primavera MG in the Brazil, Serie D on 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aparecidense at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aparecidense vs Primavera MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aparecidense vs Primavera MG?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 30 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aparecidense vs Primavera MG?

Aparecidense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aparecidense vs Primavera MG prediction, H2H and stats