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Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSat, 30 May 2026

Joinville

Sat, 30 May 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Guarany de Bagé

Pre-match win probability

62.2%Joinville25.8%Draw12%Guarany de Bagé

Our prediction

Joinville

Joinville is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.45
Confidence62.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Joinville 62.2%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Guarany de Bagé 12%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

JoinvilleGuarany de Bagé

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.520% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes31.2%
No68.8%

Double chance

1X68.5%
X231.5%

Match result

Joinville1.45
Draw3.5
Guarany de Bagé7.5

Both teams to score

Yes31.2% · 3
No68.8% · 1.36

1X

Chance68.5%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance31.5%
Odds2.3

Joinville

Chance62.2%
Odds1.45

Draw

Chance25.8%
Odds3.5

Guarany de Bagé

Chance12%
Odds7.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Joinville at 1.45

JoinvilleGuarany de Bagé
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall84%16%

Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sat, 30 May 2026

Joinville meet Guarany de Bagé in the Brazil, Serie D on 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Joinville at 1.45. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.36.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé FAQs

4 questions

What time is Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 30 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé?

Joinville is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.45. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 3. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Joinville vs Guarany de Bagé prediction, H2H and stats