Arouca vs Guimaraes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Arouca

WLWLD

Sat, 7 Feb 202621:30

3 : 2

Full time

Guimaraes

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

34.2%Arouca28.9%Draw36.9%Guimaraes

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Arouca

Arouca vs Guimaraes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence36.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arouca 34.2%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Guimaraes 36.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AroucaGuimaraes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X48.3%
X251.7%

Match result

Arouca2.75
Draw3.25
Guimaraes2.55

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

Arouca

Chance34.2%
Odds2.75

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.25

Guimaraes

Chance36.9%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

AroucaGuimaraes
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Arouca vs Guimaraes: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 7 Feb 2026

Arouca meet Guimaraes in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 7 February 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guimaraes at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arouca vs Guimaraes FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arouca vs Guimaraes?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 7 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arouca vs Guimaraes?

Guimaraes is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arouca vs Guimaraes prediction, H2H and stats