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Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 7 Feb 2026

Moreirense

7th in table · 43 pts

WDLLW

Sat, 7 Feb 202616:30

1 : 2

Full time

GIL Vicente

6th in table · 50 pts

WLWDD

Pre-match win probability

24.8%Moreirense30.4%Draw44.8%GIL Vicente

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Moreirense

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 24.8%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • GIL Vicente 44.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseGIL Vicente
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.7–
Wins
1213
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Moreirense3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseW
  • 17 OctAVS1 – 0MoreirenseL
  • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoW
GIL Vicente0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headMoreirense 3W · 2D · GIL Vicente 4W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL Vicente
    • 25 JulGIL Vicente2 – 2Moreirense
    • 29 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Moreirense
    • 6 AprGIL Vicente0 – 1Moreirense
    • 12 JanGIL Vicente1 – 0Moreirense
    • 8 NovMoreirense3 – 2GIL Vicente

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
    1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
    2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
    3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.7%
    No53.3%

    Double chance

    1X42.4%
    X257.6%

    Match result

    Moreirense3.8
    Draw3.1
    GIL Vicente2.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.7% · 2
    No53.3% · 1.75

    1X

    Chance42.4%
    Odds1.7

    X2

    Chance57.6%
    Odds1.25

    Moreirense

    Chance24.8%
    Odds3.8

    Draw

    Chance30.4%
    Odds3.1

    GIL Vicente

    Chance44.8%
    Odds2.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.25

    MoreirenseGIL Vicente
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence57%43%
    Goals model52%48%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall36%64%

    Trends

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Moreirense scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Moreirense conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

    Trend · Primeira Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Moreirense vs GIL Vicente: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 7 Feb 2026

    Moreirense meet GIL Vicente in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 7 February 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is GIL Vicente at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Moreirense vs GIL Vicente FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

    Kickoff is 16:30 on 7 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

    GIL Vicente is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.