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Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueTue, 30 Dec 2025

Arsenal

WDWWW

Tue, 30 Dec 202521:15

4 : 1

Full time

Aston Villa

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

66.6%Arsenal19.9%Draw13.5%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Draw · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds4.75
Confidence66.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 66.6%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Aston Villa 13.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X71.4%
X228.6%

Match result

Arsenal1.42
Draw4.75
Aston Villa7

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance71.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance28.6%
Odds2.75

Arsenal

Chance66.6%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Aston Villa

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.75

ArsenalAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Arsenal vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Tue, 30 Dec 2025

Arsenal meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 30 December 2025 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 30 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.