Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Burnley

DDLLL

Tue, 30 Dec 202520:30

1 : 3

Full time

Newcastle

LDWLD

Pre-match win probability

16.6%Burnley22.7%Draw60.7%Newcastle

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Burnley

Burnley vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence60.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 16.6%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • Newcastle 60.7%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyNewcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X33.1%
X266.9%

Match result

Burnley5.75
Draw4.2
Newcastle1.57

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

X2

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

Burnley

Chance16.6%
Odds5.75

Draw

Chance22.7%
Odds4.2

Newcastle

Chance60.7%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.14

BurnleyNewcastle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall21%79%

Burnley vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Tue, 30 Dec 2025

Burnley meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 30 December 2025 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Newcastle at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burnley vs Newcastle?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 30 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burnley vs Newcastle?

Newcastle is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burnley vs Newcastle prediction, H2H and stats