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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueMon, 31 Aug 2026

Aston Villa

LLLLW

Mon, 31 Aug 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Arsenal

WWDLL

Pre-match win probability

15.1%Aston Villa21.8%Draw63%Arsenal

Our prediction

Over 2.5 · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Arsenal listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 15.1%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Arsenal 63%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaArsenal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X30.9%
X269.1%

Match result

Aston Villa6.25
Draw4.33
Arsenal1.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance30.9%
Odds2.5

X2

Chance69.1%
Odds1.12

Aston Villa

Chance15.1%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Arsenal

Chance63%
Odds1.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Over 2.5 at 1.67

Aston VillaArsenal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall19%81%

Aston Villa vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 31 Aug 2026

Aston Villa meet Arsenal in the England, Premier League on 31 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 31 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Arsenal prediction, H2H and stats