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Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 19 Apr 2026

Aston Villa

WDWWW

Sun, 19 Apr 202614:00

4 : 3

Full time

Sunderland

WWLLW

Pre-match win probability

53.2%Aston Villa26.6%Draw20.2%Sunderland

Our prediction

Home · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Sunderland listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence53.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 53.2%
  • Draw 26.6%
  • Sunderland 20.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaSunderland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Aston Villa1.8
Draw3.6
Sunderland4.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Aston Villa

Chance53.2%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance26.6%
Odds3.6

Sunderland

Chance20.2%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.8

Aston VillaSunderland
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall72%28%

Aston Villa vs Sunderland: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 19 Apr 2026

Aston Villa meet Sunderland in the England, Premier League on 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Sunderland FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Sunderland?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 19 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Sunderland?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction, H2H and stats