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Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 19 Apr 2026

Manchester City

Sun, 19 Apr 202616:30

2 : 1

Full time

Arsenal

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Manchester City25.6%Draw23.1%Arsenal

Our prediction

Manchester City

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Manchester City 51.3%
  • Draw 25.6%
  • Arsenal 23.1%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Manchester CityArsenal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Manchester City1.85
Draw3.7
Arsenal4.1

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Manchester City

Chance51.3%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

Arsenal

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Manchester City at 1.85

Manchester CityArsenal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Manchester City vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 19 Apr 2026

Manchester City meet Arsenal in the England, Premier League on 19 April 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Manchester City vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Manchester City vs Arsenal?

Kickoff is 16:30 on 19 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Manchester City vs Arsenal?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Manchester City vs Arsenal prediction, H2H and stats