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Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 25 Feb 2026

Atalanta

WLWWW

Wed, 25 Feb 202618:45

4 : 1

Full time

Borussia Dortmund

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Atalanta25%Draw31.7%Borussia Dortmund

Our prediction

Draw · Atalanta

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 43.2%
  • Draw 25%
  • Borussia Dortmund 31.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaBorussia Dortmund

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Atalanta2.2
Draw3.8
Borussia Dortmund3

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

Atalanta

Chance43.2%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Borussia Dortmund

Chance31.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.8

AtalantaBorussia Dortmund
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 25 Feb 2026

Atalanta meet Borussia Dortmund in the World, UEFA Champions League on 25 February 2026 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 25 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund?

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, H2H and stats