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Real Madrid vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 25 Feb 2026

Real Madrid

LWWWW

Wed, 25 Feb 202621:00

2 : 1

Full time

Benfica

WLWWD

Pre-match win probability

57.2%Real Madrid21.8%Draw21%Benfica

Our prediction

Home · Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence57.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Madrid 57.2%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Benfica 21%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Real MadridBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X64.6%
X235.4%

Match result

Real Madrid1.65
Draw4.33
Benfica4.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance64.6%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance35.4%
Odds2.15

Real Madrid

Chance57.2%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Benfica

Chance21%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.65

Real MadridBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Real Madrid vs Benfica: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 25 Feb 2026

Real Madrid meet Benfica in the World, UEFA Champions League on 25 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Real Madrid vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Real Madrid vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 25 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Real Madrid vs Benfica?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Real Madrid vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats