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Atalanta vs Pafos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 15 Oct 2026

Atalanta

WLLLW

Thu, 15 Oct 202620:00

3 : 1

Full time

Pafos

WLWDW

Pre-match win probability

73.3%Atalanta16.3%Draw10.4%Pafos

Our prediction

Home · Atalanta

Atalanta vs Pafos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence73.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 73.3%
  • Draw 16.3%
  • Pafos 10.4%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaPafos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
2.5 goals16% · 1.489.1% · 2.6
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.114.2% · 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X76.1%
X223.9%

Match result

Atalanta1.28
Draw5.75
Pafos9

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance76.1%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance23.9%
Odds3.4

Atalanta

Chance73.3%
Odds1.28

Draw

Chance16.3%
Odds5.75

Pafos

Chance10.4%
Odds9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.28

AtalantaPafos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Atalanta vs Pafos: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Atalanta meet Pafos in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atalanta vs Pafos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atalanta vs Pafos?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atalanta vs Pafos?

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.48 and under 2.5 is 2.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atalanta vs Pafos prediction, H2H and stats