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Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 17 May 2026

Atletico Madrid

WLLWD

Sun, 17 May 202618:00

1 : 0

Full time

Girona

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

52.9%Atletico Madrid24.4%Draw22.7%Girona

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Girona listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence52.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 52.9%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Girona 22.7%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridGirona

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.8
Draw3.9
Girona4.2

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

Atletico Madrid

Chance52.9%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Girona

Chance22.7%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Atletico MadridGirona
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Atletico Madrid vs Girona: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 17 May 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Girona in the Spain, La Liga on 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Girona FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Girona?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Girona?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Girona prediction, H2H and stats