Atletico-MG vs Ceara Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa Do BrasilThu, 23 Apr 2026

Atletico-MG

LWLLW

Thu, 23 Apr 202623:00

2 : 1

Live

Ceara

DWWWW

Pre-match win probability

58%Atletico-MG24.1%Draw17.9%Ceara

Our prediction

Away · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Ceara listed tip from the board.

Odds5.25
Confidence58%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 58%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Ceara 17.9%

Season statistics

Copa Do Brasil · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGCeara

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.2% · 1.37% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.8% · 213.1% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X67.6%
X232.4%

Match result

Atletico-MG1.62
Draw3.9
Ceara5.25

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance67.6%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance32.4%
Odds2.38

Atletico-MG

Chance58%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds3.9

Ceara

Chance17.9%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 5.25

Atletico-MGCeara
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Atletico-MG vs Ceara: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · Thu, 23 Apr 2026

Atletico-MG meet Ceara in the Brazil, Copa Do Brasil on 23 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Ceara FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Ceara?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 23 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Ceara?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Ceara prediction, H2H and stats