Get Premium

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 12 Sept 2026

Atletico-MG

Sat, 12 Sept 202620:00

3 : 1

Full time

Fluminense

Pre-match win probability

47.2%Atletico-MG28.6%Draw24.2%Fluminense

Our prediction

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence47.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 47.2%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Fluminense 24.2%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGFluminense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.2% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Atletico-MG2
Draw3.3
Fluminense3.9

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Atletico-MG

Chance47.2%
Odds2

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Fluminense

Chance24.2%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico-MG at 2

Atletico-MGFluminense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Atletico-MG meet Fluminense in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense prediction, H2H and stats