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Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASat, 12 Sept 2026

Gremio

LWWDL

Sat, 12 Sept 202620:00

1 : 2

Full time

Vasco DA Gama

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

28.7%Gremio29.2%Draw42.1%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Gremio

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Gremio 28.7%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Vasco DA Gama 42.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

GremioVasco DA Gama

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0813.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Gremio3.3
Draw3.25
Vasco DA Gama2.25

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Gremio

Chance28.7%
Odds3.3

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.25

Vasco DA Gama

Chance42.1%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.57

GremioVasco DA Gama
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

Gremio meet Vasco DA Gama in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Vasco DA Gama at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

4 questions

What time is Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?

Vasco DA Gama is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama prediction, H2H and stats