Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 16 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG

WDWDD

Sun, 16 Aug 202620:00

3 : 0

Full time

Gremio

WWDLD

Pre-match win probability

51.1%Atletico-MG27.8%Draw21%Gremio

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence51.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 51.1%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Gremio 21%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGGremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

Atletico-MG1.85
Draw3.4
Gremio4.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

Atletico-MG

Chance51.1%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Gremio

Chance21%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Atletico-MGGremio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Atletico-MG vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Atletico-MG meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats