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Sao Paulo vs Coritiba Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 16 Aug 2026

Sao Paulo

9th in table · 43 pts

DLDDL

Sun, 16 Aug 202601:00

1 : 1

Full time

Coritiba

12th in table · 39 pts

WLDLL

Pre-match win probability

54.8%Sao Paulo27.9%Draw17.3%Coritiba

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Coritiba listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence54.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 54.8%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Coritiba 17.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloCoritiba
Wins
1210
Played
3232

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Sao Paulo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Coritiba0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
      1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
      2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
      3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

      Both teams to score

      Yes48%
      No52%

      Double chance

      1X63.7%
      X236.3%

      Match result

      Sao Paulo1.73
      Draw3.4
      Coritiba5.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes48% · 1.95
      No52% · 1.8

      1X

      Chance63.7%
      Odds1.17

      X2

      Chance36.3%
      Odds2.05

      Sao Paulo

      Chance54.8%
      Odds1.73

      Draw

      Chance27.9%
      Odds3.4

      Coritiba

      Chance17.3%
      Odds5.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

      Sao PauloCoritiba
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall76%24%

      Sao Paulo vs Coritiba: prediction & preview

      Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

      Sao Paulo meet Coritiba in the Brazil, Serie A on 16 August 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Sao Paulo vs Coritiba FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?

      Kickoff is 01:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Coritiba?

      Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.8%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.