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Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AFri, 9 Oct 2026

Atletico Paranaense

WDLDW

Fri, 9 Oct 202600:00

2 : 2

Full time

Atletico-MG

WDWWL

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Atletico Paranaense28%Draw25.7%Atletico-MG

Our prediction

X2 · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 46.4%
  • Draw 28%
  • Atletico-MG 25.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Atletico Paranaense2.05
Draw3.4
Atletico-MG3.7

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Atletico Paranaense

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Atletico-MG

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.67

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico-MG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Fri, 9 Oct 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Atletico-MG in the Brazil, Serie A on 9 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Paranaense at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 9 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG?

Atletico Paranaense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG prediction, H2H and stats