Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AFri, 9 Oct 2026

Palmeiras

DLWWD

Fri, 9 Oct 202601:30

1 : 0

Full time

Bahia

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

62.2%Palmeiras22%Draw15.9%Bahia

Our prediction

1X · Palmeiras

Palmeiras vs Bahia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence62.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 62.2%
  • Draw 22%
  • Bahia 15.9%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasBahia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.9% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Palmeiras1.53
Draw4.33
Bahia6

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.38

Palmeiras

Chance62.2%
Odds1.53

Draw

Chance22%
Odds4.33

Bahia

Chance15.9%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.12

PalmeirasBahia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall80%20%

Palmeiras vs Bahia: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Fri, 9 Oct 2026

Palmeiras meet Bahia in the Brazil, Serie A on 9 October 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Palmeiras at 1.53. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Palmeiras vs Bahia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 9 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Palmeiras is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.53. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction, H2H and stats