Get Premium

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 3 May 2026

Atletico Paranaense

WDLWL

Sun, 3 May 202600:30

0 : 0

Full time

Gremio

DWWLW

Pre-match win probability

54.5%Atletico Paranaense26.5%Draw19.1%Gremio

Our prediction

1X · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence54.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 54.5%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • Gremio 19.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaenseGremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.6% · 2.0513.6% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.4% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

Atletico Paranaense1.75
Draw3.6
Gremio5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

Atletico Paranaense

Chance54.5%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.6

Gremio

Chance19.1%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

Atletico ParanaenseGremio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 3 May 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Paranaense at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio?

Atletico Paranaense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats