Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 3 May 2026

Sao Paulo

DWWLW

Sun, 3 May 202620:00

2 : 2

Full time

Bahia

DLLWL

Pre-match win probability

47.6%Sao Paulo28%Draw24.4%Bahia

Our prediction

Home · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Bahia listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence47.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 47.6%
  • Draw 28%
  • Bahia 24.4%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloBahia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.3% · 1.36.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Sao Paulo2
Draw3.4
Bahia3.9

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Sao Paulo

Chance47.6%
Odds2

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Bahia

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2

Sao PauloBahia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Sao Paulo vs Bahia: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 3 May 2026

Sao Paulo meet Bahia in the Brazil, Serie A on 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Bahia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Bahia?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Bahia?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Bahia prediction, H2H and stats