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Atletico Paranaense vs Santos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 12 Feb 2026

Atletico Paranaense

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Thu, 12 Feb 202623:00

2 : 1

Full time

Santos

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

43.2%Atletico Paranaense29.7%Draw27.1%Santos

Our prediction

Home · Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense vs Santos listed tip from the board.

Odds2.2
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Paranaense 43.2%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Santos 27.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico ParanaenseSantos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X56.6%
X243.4%

Match result

Atletico Paranaense2.2
Draw3.2
Santos3.5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

Atletico Paranaense

Chance43.2%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Santos

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.2

Atletico ParanaenseSantos
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall61%39%

Atletico Paranaense vs Santos: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 12 Feb 2026

Atletico Paranaense meet Santos in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 February 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Paranaense at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Paranaense vs Santos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Paranaense vs Santos?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 12 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Paranaense vs Santos?

Atletico Paranaense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Paranaense vs Santos prediction, H2H and stats