Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie AThu, 12 Feb 2026

Sao Paulo

WDWWL

Thu, 12 Feb 202601:30

2 : 0

Full time

Gremio

WWDLL

Pre-match win probability

48.6%Sao Paulo29.6%Draw21.9%Gremio

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo vs Gremio listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence48.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sao Paulo 48.6%
  • Draw 29.6%
  • Gremio 21.9%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Sao PauloGremio

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.6% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X60.8%
X239.2%

Match result

Sao Paulo1.95
Draw3.2
Gremio4.33

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance60.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance39.2%
Odds1.83

Sao Paulo

Chance48.6%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Gremio

Chance21.9%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Sao PauloGremio
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Sao Paulo vs Gremio: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 12 Feb 2026

Sao Paulo meet Gremio in the Brazil, Serie A on 12 February 2026 at 01:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Sao Paulo at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Sao Paulo vs Gremio?

Kickoff is 01:30 on 12 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Sao Paulo vs Gremio?

Sao Paulo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Sao Paulo vs Gremio prediction, H2H and stats