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AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 17 May 2026

AZ Alkmaar

DDDWD

Sun, 17 May 202613:30

3 : 3

Full time

NAC Breda

WLLDD

Pre-match win probability

73.7%AZ Alkmaar16.4%Draw9.9%NAC Breda

Our prediction

Home · AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence73.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AZ Alkmaar 73.7%
  • Draw 16.4%
  • NAC Breda 9.9%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

AZ AlkmaarNAC Breda

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X75.1%
X224.9%

Match result

AZ Alkmaar1.28
Draw5.75
NAC Breda9.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance75.1%
Odds1.08

X2

Chance24.9%
Odds3.25

AZ Alkmaar

Chance73.7%
Odds1.28

Draw

Chance16.4%
Odds5.75

NAC Breda

Chance9.9%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.28

AZ AlkmaarNAC Breda
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 17 May 2026

AZ Alkmaar meet NAC Breda in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AZ Alkmaar at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 73.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda FAQs

4 questions

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

AZ Alkmaar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 73.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda prediction, H2H and stats