Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Heerenveen

LWWLW

Sun, 17 May 202613:30

0 : 0

Full time

Ajax

LDWWL

Pre-match win probability

28%Heerenveen23.2%Draw48.8%Ajax

Our prediction

Draw · Heerenveen

Heerenveen vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds4.1
Confidence48.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Heerenveen 28%
  • Draw 23.2%
  • Ajax 48.8%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

HeerenveenAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals13.2% · 1.812.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes71%
No29%

Double chance

1X44%
X256%

Match result

Heerenveen3.4
Draw4.1
Ajax1.95

Both teams to score

Yes71% · 1.33
No29% · 3.25

1X

Chance44%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance56%
Odds1.36

Heerenveen

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance23.2%
Odds4.1

Ajax

Chance48.8%
Odds1.95

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.1

HeerenveenAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Heerenveen vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 17 May 2026

Heerenveen meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.33.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Heerenveen vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is Heerenveen vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 13:30 on 17 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Heerenveen vs Ajax?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.33. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Heerenveen vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats