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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Nations LeagueSun, 4 Oct 2026

Azerbaijan

DDWWL

Sun, 4 Oct 202614:00

1 : 0

Full time

Lithuania

WDWLW

Pre-match win probability

38.8%Azerbaijan31.1%Draw30.1%Lithuania

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Azerbaijan 38.8%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Lithuania 30.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

AzerbaijanLithuania

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
2.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.5% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Azerbaijan2.4
Draw3
Lithuania3.1

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Azerbaijan

Chance38.8%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds3

Lithuania

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

AzerbaijanLithuania
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Azerbaijan meet Lithuania in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Azerbaijan at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania FAQs

4 questions

What time is Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Azerbaijan is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction, H2H and stats