Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands

DWDDW

Sun, 4 Oct 202619:45

2 : 1

Full time

Serbia

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

80.2%Netherlands13.5%Draw6.3%Serbia

Our prediction

Home · Netherlands

Netherlands vs Serbia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence80.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Netherlands 80.2%
  • Draw 13.5%
  • Serbia 6.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Nations League · highlighted side is stronger

NetherlandsSerbia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.9% · 1.083% · 8
2.5 goals17.8% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X81.4%
X218.6%

Match result

Netherlands1.18
Draw7
Serbia15

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance81.4%
Odds1.03

X2

Chance18.6%
Odds4.5

Netherlands

Chance80.2%
Odds1.18

Draw

Chance13.5%
Odds7

Serbia

Chance6.3%
Odds15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.18

NetherlandsSerbia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall93%7%

Netherlands vs Serbia: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Nations League · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Netherlands meet Serbia in the World, UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Netherlands at 1.18. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 80.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Netherlands vs Serbia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Netherlands vs Serbia?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Netherlands vs Serbia?

Netherlands is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.18. The margin-adjusted share is about 80.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Netherlands vs Serbia prediction, H2H and stats